Postmatch editorial

Rosario Central upset the pre-match prices

The final score was River Plate 0-1 Rosario Central. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Nicolás Otamendi put the first mark on the match 27', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: River Plate led Shots on target 6-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. River Plate also shaded Total shots 25-12.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made River Plate the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

River Plate

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

River Plate

River Plate

Rosario Central

6

3

Total shots

River Plate

River Plate

Rosario Central

25

12

Possession

River Plate

River Plate

Rosario Central

66%

34%