Postmatch editorial

Belgrano flipped the prices on their head

The final score was River Plate 2-3 Belgrano. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

River Plate struck first through Facundo Colidio 18', but Belgrano recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Belgrano led Shots on target 4-6. Belgrano also shaded Total shots 8-13.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made River Plate the favourite at 45.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

River Plate

45.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Belgrano

River Plate

Belgrano

4

6

Total shots

Belgrano

River Plate

Belgrano

8

13

Possession

River Plate

River Plate

Belgrano

62%

38%