Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Rīgas FS 1-2 Jablonec. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Richard Sedlacek put the first mark on the match 4', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rīgas FS led Shots on target 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rīgas FS also shaded Possession 58%-42%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rīgas FS the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Rīgas FS

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Jablonec

8

2

Possession

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Jablonec

58%

42%

Corners

Jablonec

Rīgas FS

Jablonec

4

5