Postmatch editorial

Remo upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Remo 1-0 São Paulo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Marcelinho scored 90+4' for Remo.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: São Paulo led Shots on target 2-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. São Paulo also shaded Possession 39%-61%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made São Paulo the favourite at 42.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

São Paulo

42.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

São Paulo

Remo

São Paulo

2

4

Possession

São Paulo

Remo

São Paulo

39%

61%

Corners

São Paulo

Remo

São Paulo

6

7