Postmatch editorial

Coritiba flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Remo 2-3 Coritiba. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Pedro Rocha scored 90+3' for Coritiba.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Remo led Total shots 34-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Remo also shaded Corners 9-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Remo the favourite at 48.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Remo

48.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Remo

Remo

Coritiba

34

11

Corners

Remo

Remo

Coritiba

9

4

Shots on target

Remo

Remo

Coritiba

7

5