Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Reggiana 1-0 Sampdoria. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Andrija Novakovich scored 76' for Reggiana.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sampdoria led Shots on target 2-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sampdoria also shaded Possession 32%-68%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sampdoria the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Sampdoria
44.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
SampdoriaReggiana
Sampdoria
2
6
Possession
SampdoriaReggiana
Sampdoria
32%
68%
Corners
SampdoriaReggiana
Sampdoria
3
9