Postmatch editorial

Real Unión Club upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Real Unión Club 3-2 Cádiz. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Cádiz struck first through Lucas Pérez 15', but Real Unión Club recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cádiz led Total shots 13-19, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cádiz also shaded Corners 6-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cádiz the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cádiz

62.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Cádiz

Real Unión Club

Cádiz

13

19

Corners

Cádiz

Real Unión Club

Cádiz

6

9

Possession

Cádiz

Real Unión Club

Cádiz

45%

55%