Real Sociedad
Game ended in draw.
2 - 2
FT
Real Betis
Postmatch editorial
One side of the split call landed for Draw
The final score was Real Sociedad 2-2 Real Betis. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The late equaliser came from Mikel Oyarzabal 90+1', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Real Sociedad led Possession 65%-35%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Real Sociedad also shaded Corners 4-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Real Betis the likeliest result at 38.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Real Sociedad at 40.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Real Betis
38.0%
Market result
Real Sociedad
40.0%
BTTS
Yes
52.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Real Betis
65%
35%
Corners
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Real Betis
4
3
Shots on target
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
6
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.