Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Real Murcia 3-2 Cádiz. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Alex Schalk put the first mark on the match 14', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cádiz led Shots on target 4-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cádiz also shaded Total shots 7-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cádiz the favourite at 37.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cádiz

37.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Cádiz

Real Murcia

Cádiz

4

7

Total shots

Cádiz

Real Murcia

Cádiz

7

10

Corners

Cádiz

Real Murcia

Cádiz

4

6