Real Madrid
Real Madrid won after full-time.
3 - 2
FT
Atlético de Madrid
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Real Madrid delivered it
The final score was Real Madrid 3-2 Atlético de Madrid. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Atlético de Madrid struck first through Ademola Lookman 33', but Real Madrid recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Real Madrid led Corners 4-1. Real Madrid also shaded Shots on target 10-7.
Before kickoff, our model made Real Madrid the likeliest result at 60.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Real Madrid at 50.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (56.1%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Real Madrid
60.0%
Market result
Real Madrid
50.0%
BTTS
Yes
56.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Real MadridReal Madrid
Atlético de Madrid
4
1
Shots on target
Real MadridReal Madrid
Atlético de Madrid
10
7
Total shots
Real MadridReal Madrid
Atlético de Madrid
17
13
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.