Postmatch editorial
Carlisle United upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Reading 2-3 Carlisle United after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Reading struck first through Lewis Wing 32', but Carlisle United recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Reading led Corners 7-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Reading also shaded Possession 57%-43%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Reading the favourite at 64.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Reading
64.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
ReadingReading
Carlisle United
7
2
Possession
ReadingReading
Carlisle United
57%
43%
Shots on target
Carlisle UnitedReading
Carlisle United
6
7