RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Postmatch editorial
RB Leipzig turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Yan Diomande scored 80' for RB Leipzig.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: RB Leipzig led Shots on target 11-3. RB Leipzig also shaded Corners 11-4.
Before kickoff, our model made RB Leipzig the likeliest result at 58.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced RB Leipzig at 67.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.4%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
RB Leipzig
58.6%
Market result
RB Leipzig
67.6%
BTTS
Yes
53.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
11
3
Corners
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
11
4
Total shots
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24
15
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.