Postmatch editorial

Samsunspor upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Samsunspor. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Cherif Ndiaye put the first mark on the match 65', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rayo Vallecano led Shots on target 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rayo Vallecano also shaded Corners 13-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 64.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Rayo Vallecano

64.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Samsunspor

6

2

Corners

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Samsunspor

13

1

Total shots

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Samsunspor

19

9