Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Real Oviedo
Postmatch editorial
Rayo Vallecano turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Real Oviedo. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Jorge de Frutos put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Rayo Vallecano led Shots on target 7-2. Rayo Vallecano also shaded Corners 12-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Rayo Vallecano the likeliest result at 53.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced Rayo Vallecano at 57.1% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (58.1%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Rayo Vallecano
53.6%
Market result
Rayo Vallecano
57.1%
BTTS
No
58.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
7
2
Corners
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
12
2
Total shots
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
19
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.