Postmatch editorial

Yeclano flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Yeclano after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Álex Vaquero scored 120+1' for Yeclano.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rayo Majadahonda led Possession 64%-36%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rayo Majadahonda also shaded Corners 7-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Rayo Majadahonda

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Rayo Majadahonda

Rayo Majadahonda

Yeclano

64%

36%

Corners

Rayo Majadahonda

Rayo Majadahonda

Yeclano

7

4

Shots on target

Rayo Majadahonda

Rayo Majadahonda

Yeclano

5

4