Postmatch editorial

Randers FC upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Randers FC 2-1 AGF. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Elies Mahmoud put the first mark on the match 21', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AGF led Corners 1-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. AGF also shaded Total shots 8-17.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AGF the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AGF

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

AGF

Randers FC

AGF

1

5

Total shots

AGF

Randers FC

AGF

8

17

Possession

AGF

Randers FC

AGF

41%

59%