Postmatch editorial

Radomiak Radom upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Kraków. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Cracovia Kraków struck first through Martin Minchev 47', but Radomiak Radom recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cracovia Kraków led Shots on target 5-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Radomiak Radom also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cracovia Kraków the favourite at 42.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cracovia Kraków

42.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Cracovia Kraków

Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Kraków

5

7

Possession

Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Kraków

54%

46%

Total shots

Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Kraków

20

19