Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Quevilly Rouen 4-3 Auxerre. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Papa Ndiaga Yade scored 90+10' for Quevilly Rouen.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Auxerre led Possession 41%-59%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Auxerre also shaded Corners 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Auxerre the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Auxerre

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Auxerre

Quevilly Rouen

Auxerre

41%

59%

Corners

Auxerre

Quevilly Rouen

Auxerre

6

8

Shots on target

Auxerre

Quevilly Rouen

Auxerre

7

8