Qatar
Qatar won after full-time.
3 - 2
FT
Uzbekistan
Postmatch editorial
Qatar flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Qatar 3-2 Uzbekistan. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
The decisive turn arrived late when Lucas Mendes scored 90+12' for Qatar.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Uzbekistan led Corners 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Uzbekistan also shaded Total shots 10-19.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Uzbekistan at 40.2% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Uzbekistan
40.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
UzbekistanQatar
Uzbekistan
1
4
Total shots
UzbekistanQatar
Uzbekistan
10
19
Shots on target
UzbekistanQatar
Uzbekistan
7
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.