Qatar
Qatar won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Iran
Postmatch editorial
Qatar bent the night away from the script
The final score was Qatar 1-0 Iran. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Pedro Miguel put the first mark on the match 41', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Qatar led Possession 52%-48%.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Iran at 38.9% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Iran
38.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
QatarQatar
Iran
52%
48%
Shots on target
Qatar
Iran
3
3
Total shots
Qatar
Iran
6
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.