Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Puszcza Niepołomice 2-3 Stal Mielec. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Matthew Guillaumier put the first mark on the match 5', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Stal Mielec led Shots on target 5-8. Stal Mielec also shaded Possession 41%-59%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 39.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Puszcza Niepołomice
39.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
Stal Mielec
5
8
Possession
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
Stal Mielec
41%
59%
Total shots
Puszcza Niepołomice
Stal Mielec
21
21