Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Progrès Niedercorn 2-1 FC Midtjylland. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Mayron De Almeida put the first mark on the match 15', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Midtjylland led Corners 3-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Midtjylland also shaded Possession 41%-59%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Midtjylland the favourite at 71.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FC Midtjylland
71.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
FC MidtjyllandProgrès Niedercorn
FC Midtjylland
3
8
Possession
FC MidtjyllandProgrès Niedercorn
FC Midtjylland
41%
59%
Shots on target
Progrès NiedercornProgrès Niedercorn
FC Midtjylland
5
4