Postmatch editorial

Portugalete flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Portugalete 1-0 Ponferradina. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

David Valero put the first mark on the match 73', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Portugalete led Shots on target 3-0. Ponferradina also shaded Corners 3-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ponferradina the favourite at 50.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ponferradina

50.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Portugalete

Portugalete

Ponferradina

3

0

Corners

Ponferradina

Portugalete

Ponferradina

3

5

Possession

Ponferradina

Portugalete

Ponferradina

46%

54%