Postmatch editorial

Portugalete flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Portugalete 1-0 Extremadura UD. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Adrián Güemes put the first mark on the match 68', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Portugalete led Shots on target 3-1. Extremadura UD also shaded Possession 39%-61%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Extremadura UD the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Extremadura UD

50.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Portugalete

Portugalete

Extremadura UD

3

1

Possession

Extremadura UD

Portugalete

Extremadura UD

39%

61%

Corners

Extremadura UD

Portugalete

Extremadura UD

3

4