Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Portsmouth 0-2 Derby County. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sammie Szmodics put the first mark on the match 16', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Portsmouth led Total shots 21-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Portsmouth also shaded Corners 11-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Portsmouth the favourite at 48.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Portsmouth

48.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby County

21

8

Corners

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby County

11

2

Shots on target

Derby County

Portsmouth

Derby County

3

5