Postmatch editorial

Pordenone flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Pordenone 2-0 Frosinone. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Nicolò Cambiaghi scored 82' for Pordenone.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Pordenone led Shots on target 7-2. Frosinone also shaded Possession 37%-63%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Frosinone the favourite at 55.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Frosinone

55.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Pordenone

Pordenone

Frosinone

7

2

Possession

Frosinone

Pordenone

Frosinone

37%

63%

Corners

Pordenone

Pordenone

Frosinone

9

7