Postmatch editorial

Pisa made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Pisa 3-1 Varese. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Varese struck first through Nicolò Palazzolo 11', but Pisa recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Varese led Corners 1-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Pisa also shaded Shots on target 7-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Pisa the favourite at 82.0% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Pisa

82.0%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Varese

Pisa

Varese

1

2

Shots on target

Pisa

Pisa

Varese

7

5

Possession

Pisa

Pisa

Varese

53%

47%