Postmatch editorial

SPAL upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Pisa 1-2 SPAL. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Raffaele Celia put the first mark on the match 42', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Pisa led Corners 10-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Pisa also shaded Shots on target 6-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Pisa the favourite at 70.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Pisa

70.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Pisa

Pisa

SPAL

10

3

Shots on target

Pisa

Pisa

SPAL

6

4

Possession

Pisa

Pisa

SPAL

54%

46%