Postmatch editorial

Calcio Padova flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Pisa 0-1 Calcio Padova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Pietro Fusi put the first mark on the match 63', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Pisa led Shots on target 7-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Pisa also shaded Total shots 22-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Pisa the favourite at 57.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Pisa

57.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Pisa

Pisa

Calcio Padova

7

2

Total shots

Pisa

Pisa

Calcio Padova

22

11

Possession

Pisa

Pisa

Calcio Padova

58%

42%