Postmatch editorial

Peterborough Sports flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Peterborough Sports 2-1 AFC Hornchurch. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Theo Williams scored 78' for Peterborough Sports.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Peterborough Sports led Shots on target 4-3. Peterborough Sports also shaded Total shots 11-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 58.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AFC Hornchurch

58.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Peterborough Sports

Peterborough Sports

AFC Hornchurch

4

3

Total shots

Peterborough Sports

Peterborough Sports

AFC Hornchurch

11

8

Possession

Peterborough Sports

Peterborough Sports

AFC Hornchurch

55%

45%