Postmatch editorial
Modena upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Perugia 0-1 Modena. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Fabio Gerli put the first mark on the match 46', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Modena led Shots on target 0-8. Modena also shaded Total shots 11-20.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Perugia the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Perugia
43.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ModenaPerugia
Modena
0
8
Total shots
ModenaPerugia
Modena
11
20
Possession
PerugiaPerugia
Modena
54%
46%