Postmatch editorial

Nancy flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Pau 1-3 Nancy. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Pau struck first through Antonin Bobichon 26', but Nancy recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Pau led Possession 73%-27%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nancy also shaded Shots on target 4-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Pau the favourite at 38.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Pau

38.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Pau

Pau

Nancy

73%

27%

Shots on target

Nancy

Pau

Nancy

4

6

Total shots

Pau

Pau

Nancy

16

10