Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Partizani Tirana 0-1 Nõmme Kalju after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Partizani Tirana struck first through Xhuliano Skuka 80', but Nõmme Kalju recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Partizani Tirana led Total shots 12-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Partizani Tirana also shaded Corners 9-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Partizani Tirana the favourite at 60.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Partizani Tirana

60.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Partizani Tirana

Partizani Tirana

Nõmme Kalju

12

7

Corners

Partizani Tirana

Partizani Tirana

Nõmme Kalju

9

5

Shots on target

Partizani Tirana

Partizani Tirana

Nõmme Kalju

4

3