Postmatch editorial

Parma flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Parma 1-0 Sassuolo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Mateo Pellegrino scored 80' for Parma.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Parma led Shots on target 3-1. Parma also shaded Total shots 16-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sassuolo the favourite at 42.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sassuolo

42.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Parma

Parma

Sassuolo

3

1

Total shots

Parma

Parma

Sassuolo

16

6

Possession

Parma

Parma

Sassuolo

52%

48%