Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Metz
Postmatch editorial
Paris Saint Germain turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Metz. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Gonçalo Ramos scored 77' for Paris Saint Germain.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paris Saint Germain led Shots on target 7-0. Paris Saint Germain also shaded Total shots 17-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Paris Saint Germain the likeliest result at 77.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced Paris Saint Germain at 88.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (56.0%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Paris Saint Germain
77.5%
Market result
Paris Saint Germain
88.5%
BTTS
No
56.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Metz
7
0
Total shots
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Metz
17
3
Corners
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Metz
4
1
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.