Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Brest
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Paris Saint Germain delivered it
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Brest. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Désiré Doué scored 82' for Paris Saint Germain.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paris Saint Germain led Total shots 23-3. Paris Saint Germain also shaded Shots on target 6-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Paris Saint Germain the likeliest result at 74.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Paris Saint Germain at 83.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (51.9%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Paris Saint Germain
74.7%
Market result
Paris Saint Germain
83.3%
BTTS
No
51.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Brest
23
3
Shots on target
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Brest
6
2
Corners
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Brest
13
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.