Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Panathinaikos 1-0 Real Betis. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Vicente Taborda scored 88' for Panathinaikos.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Real Betis led Shots on target 1-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Real Betis also shaded Possession 32%-68%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Real Betis the favourite at 46.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Real Betis

46.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Real Betis

Panathinaikos

Real Betis

1

6

Possession

Real Betis

Panathinaikos

Real Betis

32%

68%

Total shots

Real Betis

Panathinaikos

Real Betis

7

13