Panama
Panama won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
El Salvador
Postmatch editorial
Panama turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Panama 3-0 El Salvador. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when José Luis Rodríguez scored 85' for Panama.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Panama led Shots on target 10-2. Panama also shaded Total shots 21-7.
Before kickoff, our model made Panama the likeliest result at 59.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Panama at 89.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (51.5%), and that angle landed.
The model still found a small price edge on X at 1xbet. The market was offering 11.80 against a fair line of 10.43. That translated to an edge of 13.1% before kickoff. The price edge was there, but the final result did not follow it.
Prediction checks
Model result
Panama
59.8%
Market result
Panama
89.3%
BTTS
No
51.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
PanamaPanama
El Salvador
10
2
Total shots
PanamaPanama
El Salvador
21
7
Corners
PanamaPanama
El Salvador
4
1
Model edge
X
1xbet
Market odd
11.80
Fair odd
10.43
Edge
13.1%
Stake
0.26u
The price edge was there, but the final result did not follow it.