Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Palmeiras 1-2 Atlético Mineiro. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Igor Gomes scored 77' for Atlético Mineiro.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Palmeiras led Total shots 21-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Palmeiras also shaded Possession 69%-31%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Palmeiras the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Palmeiras
62.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Atlético Mineiro
21
9
Possession
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Atlético Mineiro
69%
31%
Shots on target
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Atlético Mineiro
6
4