Palestine
Palestine won after full-time.
2 - 1
FT
Iraq
Postmatch editorial
Palestine bent the night away from the script
The final score was Palestine 2-1 Iraq. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Iraq struck first through Aymen Hussein 34', but Palestine recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Palestine led Shots on target 5-3. Palestine also shaded Total shots 15-13.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Iraq at 48.1% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Iraq
48.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
PalestinePalestine
Iraq
5
3
Total shots
PalestinePalestine
Iraq
15
13
Possession
PalestinePalestine
Iraq
54%
46%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.