Postmatch editorial

Paide upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Paide 1-0 Zira. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Pa Abdou Cham scored 87' for Paide.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paide led Corners 7-3. Zira also shaded Possession 41%-59%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Zira the favourite at 68.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Zira

68.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Paide

Paide

Zira

7

3

Possession

Zira

Paide

Zira

41%

59%

Total shots

Zira

Paide

Zira

10

13