Postmatch editorial

Paide flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Paide 2-0 AIK. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bersant Celina put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AIK led Total shots 8-13, even though the scoreboard went another way. AIK also shaded Shots on target 3-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AIK the favourite at 79.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AIK

79.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

AIK

Paide

AIK

8

13

Shots on target

AIK

Paide

AIK

3

4

Corners

AIK

Paide

AIK

2

3