Postmatch editorial

Schalke 04 upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Paderborn 2-3 Schalke 04. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Paderborn struck first through Laurin Curda 13', but Schalke 04 recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Schalke 04 led Shots on target 4-7. Paderborn also shaded Corners 7-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Paderborn the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Paderborn

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Schalke 04

Paderborn

Schalke 04

4

7

Corners

Paderborn

Paderborn

Schalke 04

7

2

Possession

Schalke 04

Paderborn

Schalke 04

45%

55%