Postmatch editorial

Osnabrück upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Osnabrück 2-1 Hertha BSC. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hertha BSC struck first through Palkó Dárdai 5', but Osnabrück recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hertha BSC led Shots on target 3-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hertha BSC also shaded Total shots 13-17.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hertha BSC the favourite at 57.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hertha BSC

57.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Hertha BSC

Osnabrück

Hertha BSC

3

6

Total shots

Hertha BSC

Osnabrück

Hertha BSC

13

17

Corners

Osnabrück

Osnabrück

Hertha BSC

7

5