Osasuna
FC Barcelona won after full-time.
1 - 2
FT
FC Barcelona
Postmatch editorial
The script held and FC Barcelona delivered it
The final score was Osasuna 1-2 FC Barcelona. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Robert Lewandowski put the first mark on the match 81', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Barcelona led Possession 30%-70%. FC Barcelona also shaded Corners 3-7.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Barcelona the likeliest result at 55.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Barcelona at 59.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (57.7%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Barcelona
55.5%
Market result
FC Barcelona
59.5%
BTTS
Yes
57.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
FC BarcelonaOsasuna
FC Barcelona
30%
70%
Corners
FC BarcelonaOsasuna
FC Barcelona
3
7
Total shots
FC BarcelonaOsasuna
FC Barcelona
9
13
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.