Postmatch editorial
Villarreal made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Orihuela 1-2 Villarreal after penalties. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Gerard Moreno scored 118' for Villarreal.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Villarreal led Shots on target 5-15. Villarreal also shaded Total shots 11-43.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Villarreal the favourite at 89.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Villarreal
89.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
VillarrealOrihuela
Villarreal
5
15
Total shots
VillarrealOrihuela
Villarreal
11
43
Possession
VillarrealOrihuela
Villarreal
24%
76%