Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille won after full-time.
3 - 2
FT
Olympique Lyonnais
Postmatch editorial
Olympique Marseille turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Olympique Marseille 3-2 Olympique Lyonnais. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Olympique Lyonnais struck first through Corentin Tolisso 3', but Olympique Marseille recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Olympique Marseille led Corners 8-1. Olympique Marseille also shaded Total shots 18-12.
Before kickoff, our model made Olympique Marseille the likeliest result at 49.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Olympique Marseille at 51.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (56.9%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Olympique Marseille
49.3%
Market result
Olympique Marseille
51.4%
BTTS
Yes
56.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
8
1
Total shots
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
18
12
Shots on target
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
7
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.