Olympique Marseille
LOSC Lille won after full-time.
1 - 2
FT
LOSC Lille
Postmatch editorial
LOSC Lille flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Olympique Marseille 1-2 LOSC Lille. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Olympique Marseille struck first through Ethan Nwaneri 43', but LOSC Lille recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: LOSC Lille led Shots on target 3-4. Olympique Marseille also shaded Corners 6-4.
Before kickoff, our model made Olympique Marseille the likeliest result at 53.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Olympique Marseille at 52.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.4%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Olympique Marseille
53.8%
Market result
Olympique Marseille
52.6%
BTTS
Yes
52.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
LOSC LilleOlympique Marseille
LOSC Lille
3
4
Corners
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
LOSC Lille
6
4
Total shots
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
LOSC Lille
14
11
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.