Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais won after full-time.
3 - 2
FT
Auxerre
Postmatch editorial
Olympique Lyonnais turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Olympique Lyonnais 3-2 Auxerre. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Roman Yaremchuk put the first mark on the match 19', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Olympique Lyonnais led Shots on target 6-2. Olympique Lyonnais also shaded Corners 6-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Olympique Lyonnais the likeliest result at 59.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Olympique Lyonnais at 61.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Olympique Lyonnais
59.7%
Market result
Olympique Lyonnais
61.7%
BTTS
Yes
50.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
6
2
Corners
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
6
3
Total shots
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
12
9
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.