Postmatch editorial

OFI flipped the prices on their head

The final score was OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Lorenzo Dickmann scored 90+5' for OFI.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: CSKA Sofia led Corners 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. CSKA Sofia also shaded Total shots 6-12.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made CSKA Sofia the favourite at 39.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

CSKA Sofia

39.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

CSKA Sofia

OFI

CSKA Sofia

1

4

Total shots

CSKA Sofia

OFI

CSKA Sofia

6

12

Shots on target

CSKA Sofia

OFI

CSKA Sofia

4

6